Both are almost unchanged in Asia as risk sentiment holds up into the Asian session. Expect plenty of noise in between.ĪUD/USD rose 0.25% to 0.6965 overnight, and NZD/USD rose by 0.40% to 0.6295. Resistance is clearly denoted at 134.65 now. The sell-off this week went further than I expected but held the 100-day moving average (DMA), which today is at 130.70. Much will depend on the US Non-Farm Payroll data this evening and the reaction by US bonds. Support is at 1.2065, the overnight low, with resistance at 1.2215, the overnight high, followed by 1.2300.įour days in Bali saw me miss the long-awaited capitulation sell-off by USD/JPY as the US/Japan rate differential narrowed.
That stagflationary reality could be limiting sterling’s gains. When your central bank has forecast a recession and inflation rising to 13.0% but has only hiked rates to 1.75%, it is reasonable to assume they are behind the curve. GBP/USD traded in a choppy 150+ point Bank of England range overnight but ultimately finished nearly unchanged at 1.2160.
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Meanwhile, EUR/USD has support at 1.0150 and then a series of daily lows between 1.0100 and 1.0125. A close above 1.0300 this even would signal further gains to 1.0500, however. EUR/USD had solid resistance nearby at 1.0250 and then 1.0300.
Given stubbornly high European gas prices and the recessionary risks from its Eastern border, the single currencies environment remains challenging, even if 0.9950 is now looking like a medium-term low.
Failure signals a deeper move lower to 1.0350 and, potentially, the 102.50 longer-term breakout.ĮUR/USD rallied by 0.76% overnight to 1.0245, easing slightly to 1.0235 in Asian trading. Support is at 105.65, and then the more important 1.0500 level. Beyond that, 106.75 is the next resistance. The dollar index breakout lower at 106.45 has continued to cap rallies this week on a closing basis, suggesting downside risks are still the path of least resistance. The dollar index fell 0.59% lower at 105.75 overnight, retracing slightly higher by 0.11% to 105.87 in Asia. Sterling and the Australasians hardly moved, while Asian currencies remain stubbornly anchored near to recent lows. The US dollar fell overnight, led by losses against the euro for unknown reasons, with the Japanese yen also gaining as US yields slid slightly. Straightforward is the perfect solution to balance the complicated world of currency exchanges and intuitive and straightforward design.US dollar has had an uneven sell-off overnight With over 15 years of experience, we've become a trusted source for exchange rates for personal, corporate, and organizational data.
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